Strategy ’08

Obama vs. the other guy, 2008

Rachel Maddow Just Declared That John McCain is Winning This Election

And I agree with her. I know I’m developing a reputation as a chicken little, but I don’t care at all. I believe passionately in this and man, do I wish the Obama camp would listen to incredibly smart people like Rachel Maddow, who said on “Race for The White House” today:

“John McCain is winning this election right now. It may not look like it in the national polls, but this isn’t a national election, and John McCain is moving up in the states.”

Why? Because he has succeeded in making this an election about Obama. And Obama continues to let it happen with his “high road” strategy. Even during his great trip, it was still all about him while he was abroad. That’s fine, and that’s important.

But please stop believing that the reason you’re not walking away with this thing yet is because “people don’t know you enough yet.” That’s not true. It shouldn’t be about you any more.

Change the fundamental equation of the race as it stands: MAKE THE RACE ABOUT GEORGE BUSH, JOHN McCAIN, AND REPUBLICANS, EVERY DAY, EVERY SPEECH, EVERY AD.

I’m going to keep repeating myself until someone listens, but in the meantime we’re allowing an election that is coming after 8 years of catastrophic Republican rule to become a referendum on…the Democrat? And a young black one at that? And we think that’s the way to win?

Rachel Maddow is the smartest analyst in media right now. Someone in the Obama camp stop buying the hype about your guy and go on the frigging attack.

Yes, I’m angry.

UPDATE: In case there is confusion, when I say go on Offense, I don’t mean, “Respond to attacks by McCain.” I literally mean, go on offense, launch fresh new attacks on him.


August 1, 2008 - Posted by | Uncategorized | ,


  1. I’ve called the campaign to complain several times (1866-675-2008 press 6.) I’ve begged and pleaded that they go on offense.

    They said many people were calling to say the same thing…So maybe things will get better.

    I just refuse to believe that Obama is stupid enough to lose the election in this way. I really believe he is much smarter than that.

    I would be THRILLED if someone at one of his town hall meetings would press him on it, tell him they’re frustrated and worried about the campaign strategy. I would love to hear a response to that.

    Comment by jenontheshore | August 1, 2008 | Reply

  2. I like Rachel Maddow a lot, and she’s definitely one of the best analysts on MSNBC, but she can be a bit of a worrywart. She was the same way at the end of the primary, when she was so sure that things were going badly for Obama and that Hillary was going to take it all the way to the convention.

    Comment by smashartist | August 1, 2008 | Reply

  3. Smash, I remember that and agree, but that was a different type of analysis – she was trying to predict what Hillary would do.

    She’s calling the race as she sees it now. And she’s right.

    Comment by dansac | August 1, 2008 | Reply

  4. I just added you to my RSS feed. If you have panic posts every day, I’ll take you off. McCain is not winning the election because he had one media-filled week taking down Obama every which way. He won the week, it’s not the same thing as the election.

    And Obama does talk about Bush and McCain in every speech and in every town hall and in every ad. Perhaps you haven’t been paying attention.

    (p.s. Rachel Maddow also declared, numerous times with great passion, that Hillary was going to take the primary all the way to the convention unless the SDs made their move NOW. She’s great, but she can be hyperbolic like everyone else. And wrong.)

    Comment by evie | August 1, 2008 | Reply

  5. “she was trying to predict what Hillary would do.”

    No she wasn’t. She was sounding the panic alarm, just like she is now.

    Comment by evie | August 1, 2008 | Reply

  6. I think you need to take a deep breath and relax. It’s only July, polls this early are worthless. Stop watching cable news, donate some cash to Barry O, phonebank, volunteer, whatever. The pundits are WRONG, the Conventional Wisdom is WRONG, and we are going to take the country back from these bastards.

    Comment by erik | August 1, 2008 | Reply

  7. As long as the Obama Campaign do not hit back on ECONOMIC ISSUES, with HARD HITTING ADS, ripping McCain’s record apart, I agree, HE WILL LOOSE.

    Comment by icebergslim | August 1, 2008 | Reply

  8. Evie – believe me, you want have panic posts every day. 90% of this site is dedicated to intelligent analysis. Only 10% is for freak-outs šŸ™‚

    Comment by dansac | August 1, 2008 | Reply

  9. We’re an eclectic bunch. In fact, I’m gonna come up soon with a different take on how the election is going.

    Comment by smashartist | August 1, 2008 | Reply

  10. Sympathize, but I don’t totally agree, Dan.

    McCain can’t crack that 45% ceiling in most polls. If he’s driving the message this week, then fine. He’s just giving Obama ammo.

    Am I confident? No. But neither am I worried.

    Comment by zenbowl | August 1, 2008 | Reply

  11. zenbowl is right, why can’t mccain crack 50? he is a worthless and dishonorable candidate. we need to peel his skin off and show the real mccain.

    Comment by icebergslim | August 2, 2008 | Reply

  12. Obama is in a no-win situation. That is, he can’t win. The more people get to know him, the less there is to like. This election will be decided by a big chunk of independent voters who by definition are in the middle of the political spectrum–exactly where McCain is. McCain is the MOST MODERATE of Republicans while Obama is the MOST LIBERAL of Democrats. It’s a no-brainer. America under Obama would be an even BIGGER DISASTER!

    Comment by Beverly Johnson | August 2, 2008 | Reply

  13. Beverly,

    Thanks for the laugh.

    The only reason Obama isn’t up by 20 points is that people DON’T know him. The more they know him, the more they love him.

    Comment by jenontheshore | August 2, 2008 | Reply

  14. America and the world deserve better than a McCain. The man is not mentally or physically fit to be president. McCain will not last till the election. He will either croak from exhaustion or dementia will finish him off.

    Comment by Debranne | August 2, 2008 | Reply

  15. Beverly- We’ve already had John McCain as President for the last eight years – just the younger, more charismatic version. An old, grumpy George W Bush? America says: no thanks.

    Funny comment, though. But still wrong.

    Comment by zenbowl | August 2, 2008 | Reply

  16. To attack now would be too soon. Accept the blows, let the opponent believe he has power. Fight back, hard, when he is heady with hubris, and take him down with aggressive attacks for which he will be unprepared.

    The last sixty days will decide this race, not the next thirty.

    Comment by myjunto | August 2, 2008 | Reply

  17. Unfortunately, Ms Maddow is right …McCain is on the upswing. The Republicans [McCain included] have learned that elections are not won on an intellectual basis. Elections are won by appealing to the public’s lowest, its base instincts.

    Picking a president for a sizable portion of the herd is an emotional thing …not an intellectual one.

    The American public is basically moronic in its level of attention to the issues in presidential campaigns. Consequently, the Republicans have learned that you must appeal at the six-year old level. Remember what was mind-bending at six years of age …bathroom jokes. The Straight Talk Express is campaigning at that level. Ms Maddow rightly understands and speaks out on where a large part of the country is situated on the intellect scale.

    Hopefully, the Obama campaign will heed her timely warning.

    Comment by TheRef | August 2, 2008 | Reply

  18. I agree with Ms. Maddow that McCain is (probably) winning now. But the election isn’t now.

    When do campaigns usually go negative? Nearer to the end, to sway a close election. You start with getting to know you ads & then close with negative attacks.

    McCain is starting with negative. He has nowhere else to go. Whatever bump he’s getting from these negatives is as high as he’s going to get in the polls because he has nothing else left with which to sway voters.

    Obama has plenty in reserve. He’s taking the high road, rope-a-dope style, letting McCain burn himself out with the only strategy he has, then when McCain has peaked in the polls Obama will swat him down with attacks. And probably after he’s made McCain look the doddering old fool he is in a few debates.

    If Obama hasn’t learned that this is the way to beat the Republicans after Gore & Kerry’s disastrous campaigns then he will deserve to lose. I have to believe Obama is too smart to let that happen again.

    Comment by David H. | August 2, 2008 | Reply

  19. Rachel is right. Attack every day. If Obama won’t do it because it isn’t in his temperament, OK. Then he should pick an attack dog for VP, the usual role for VP nominee. Then he should be self-aware enough to accept that he can’t do it. he said he would do it, but he isn’t doing it so he should admit it to himself and get others to attack the Republican record on everything every day. Every damn thing they’ve screwed up since Reagan. Everything. If Obama won’t do it, he could ask Hillary, Clark, Gov. Gregoire, Boxer, Kucinich, Lamont, Dean, Rep. Jay Inslee, Al Gore, everyone with a sharp tongue and a story about Bush.

    It’s time. It’s now past time. McCain-Rove attacks are going unanswered. There is no high road. Not this time. Not now. Now is for winning by joining the battle. Not by being “disappointed” or finding McCain “disingenuous.” Wimpy stuff. This is our pro-democracy battle for the country’s life blood and the saving of the planet, and Obama’s guys are disappointed because somebody is being disingenuous? Please! Just stop it!

    Comment by Mary | August 2, 2008 | Reply

  20. Never been here before, looks like y’all are armpit deep in Chicken Littles — been there, done that, but I got calmed down after finding Al Giordino’s blog: If you haven’t been there yet go take a peek, he’ll calm you down.

    Comment by Jim | August 2, 2008 | Reply

  21. First of all, I agree with Rachel Maddow. I’ve been whining to any of my “blue” friends for weeks that he needs to start hitting back because people will see an attack ad, not check the validity and believe all this rubbish is true. Trust me, I actually know someone who thought he’d pick Oprah as a running mate…seriously. Frankly, McCain’s record with veteran’s issues needs to be publicized heavily.
    Also in response to Beverly Johnson, you better go check McCain’s record. He is NOT a moderate middle of the road guy. Maverick McCain is a myth. And as far as Obama being the most liberal Senator, I think it’s funny that in 2004, Kerry was the most liberal…and before him Kennedy was. Republicans scare people into thinking liberal means lawlessness. In my mind, being liberal means justice for all and open to new ideas. And guess what?! God didn’t condemn MA after gay Marriage was allowed, we were instead condemned financially by that Republican economic guru (nitwit) Mitt Romney, you know the brilliant guy that strapped his dog to the roof of his car driving from Boston to Michigan. That aside, please look at his record in our state. He was a train wreck, and that also needs to be publicized. He ran up our debt ridiculously and destoyed our schools amongst other things by lack of funding. I’d love to know where all the money went. Nice VP choice, don’t you think?

    Comment by Cheryl | August 4, 2008 | Reply

  22. Cool post, maybe you dream fof writters?

    Sry, hehe))

    Comment by Garraselubs | November 20, 2008 | Reply

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