Strategy ’08

Obama vs. the other guy, 2008

Once again, no exit strategy

John McCain, leader of the charge into Iraq, has used that same precipitous decision-making to plummet his party into a no-win conflict over someone they shouldn’t even be fighting about.

Now, once again, they don’t have an exit strategy. And, unlike Iraq for so long, there is a ticking clock for Palin. But what can they do?

There’s no doubt that having Palin on the ticket has weakened McCain with independents and raised serious doubts about his ability to make the critical decisions that a Commander in Chief will need to make. I don’t need to go over the litany of criticisms she herself has suffered – but remember, it’s about the top of the ticket. Sarah Palin reflects first and foremost on John McCain.

Lastly, reports that he wanted Lieberman on the ticket, but caved to the right on Palin emphasize that McCain is both unable to make a good selection (Lieberman would have been awful in a change election) and incapable of standing up to the radical fringe of his party.

Given these facts, there’s no logical reason McCain shouldn’t try to withdraw her nomination. But how can he? Here are the three approaches. Keep in mind that these need to be executed not just before the election in November, but probably before the end of the week and definitely before the end of the month.

  • Have Palin Withdraw Her Own Name Because of “Family Obligations”. Remember, the oft-touted McCain slogan is “Country First.” Not “Country First, Usually” or “Country First Unless Something Pressing Arises at Home.” If Palin is part of the “Country First” ticket, quitting the post is not an option. Still, this is probably the most palatable of the three options. Having her withdraw makes it more about her than him. If she does withdraw, though, McCain is left needing another member of his “coalition of the willing to do anything to get elected.” Who wants to join that crusade?
  • Have McCain Withdraw Her as His Selection at the Convention If Palin can’t quit, the second option is for McCain to effectively fire her from the ticket, or ask her to resign. This one is even more unpalatable than the first option. With this, you make McCain look like an indecisive ninny who is unsympathetic to a family in crisis.
  • Have the Convention Delegates Refuse Her – This is the last of the “kick her off” options. Given reports that the GOP delegates are enthusiastic about her selection, and the fact that the GOP is the party of not owning their own mistakes, I find this one to be the most unlikely of the options. It would look like the party was fickle and didn’t trust its nominated Commander in Chief.

So there really is no exit strategy for John McCain. Seems like he’s good at getting himself into situations that he can’t get out of.

If it’s any consolation, McCain can use the tactics of the Secretary of Defense that he praised for so long: Donald Rumsfeld.

You go to the polls with the ticket you have, not the ticket you’d like to have if those Fundamentalists didn’t secretly control your party.

We know where the vetters are. They’re north, south, east, and west of Wasilla, somewhat.

Freedom’s untidy, and free people are free to make mistakes and commit crimes and make bad Vice Presidential selections.

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September 2, 2008 - Posted by | Uncategorized | ,

2 Comments »

  1. I will go on record as saying, absent a truly scandalous (and previously unknown) revelation, she won’t be dropped. Three reasons:

    1. Ever since Eagleton was dropped in ’72, the political CW has hardened that switching running mates is political poison (even though McGovern would almost certainly have lost regardless). It would be especially damaging to McCain since it would severely undercut his “experience and judgment” argument.

    2. The base, which is so happy with Palin, would go absolutely apeshit.

    3. Who would he pick? There is no Alito waiting in the wings. As per No. 2, he would need to find someone equally conservative in order to keep the base happy, but he would also need to find someone thoroughly known and trusted to reassure people he wasn’t picking another Palin. A relative unknown like Eric Cantor, who might have been experienced enough to pass the smell test before, would suddenly become unacceptable. The only remotely plausible alternative I can think of would be Rob Portman, but he carries his own risks.

    Comment by gdh1 | September 2, 2008 | Reply

  2. Once again – Obama has NO strategy.

    Obama,

    You are the first candidate the U.S. has had in a long time that has continued to spread false information from the first time you hit the campaign trail.

    I find your technique one of the most offensive I have ever experienced. I find your ethics are on the border of being unethical and your manipulation of the facts most disgusting.

    It is common knowledge that the media will always press United States citizens to vote for the candidate who offers them the biggest kick-backs, pay-backs, and over-all “favors”. That is you, Obama.

    Then look at your over all personas: Your stance, the way you hold your head, your gestures, the clothes you wear, the pronouns and adjectives you use. Everything about you is the personification of an individual, who does NOT, let me repeat DOES NOT, have the United States citizens interests’ at heart. You are an elitist and the persona I just described is living proof — your entire appearance is proof — FACT — of what I say.

    Okay – now let’s talk about education. You have a law degree but did not practice law. Why? Readers – look this one up and you will see why. And, the result is not a positive one.

    Then there is the community organizer work you undertook in the state of Illinois. That, too, has been overstated and turned into something “positive” that it in fact was NOT. Dear readers – check this one out yourself as there are many Illinois citizens who will tell you the “truth.”

    My education – NOBAMA – is equal to or greater than your education. I do have the same ability as you to influence U.S. Citizens: And I certainly am taking the opportunity to exploit you for what you truly are.

    You see I am an educator, who works for a famous “Research One” institution, who has the ability to write Journal Articles that all college students will use for research. The true facts about you will come out and in a place that will most definitely do the most good – to influence voters “young voters” on how to spot an individual who does not represent the United States in the capacity as he states he will. Make no mistake, Obama, people will definitely know the subject of the Journal Articles is referencing you and your 2008 Presidential campaign.

    See you in “honest” fact-finding print.

    Comment by Versailles | October 4, 2008 | Reply


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