Strategy ’08

Obama vs. the other guy, 2008

TIME Battleground Polls: OH (+2), MN (+12), IA (+15!) Obama

Here is some great news for Obama. While the national polls are good for what they are (media narrative and framing), the state polls are where the bread is buttered. In battleground states, Obama is toasting McCain with a small lead in Ohio, and HUGE leads in Minnesota and Iowa.

Linky:

OHIO: Obama 47, McCain 45

MINNESOTA: Obama 53, McCain 41

IOWA: Obama 55, McCain 40


Demographic breakdowns: Ohio

Among men: McCain 49, Obama 43

Among women: Obama 51, McCain 42

Among whites: McCain 53, Obama 39

In 65+ age group: McCain 57, Obama 36

In under 50 age group: Obama 53, McCain 39

Among those making less than $50,000/year: Obama 51, McCain 40

Among those making more than $50,000/year: McCain 50, Obama 45

Demographic breakdowns: Minnesota

Among men: Obama 51, McCain 44

Among women: Obama 55, McCain 37

Among whites: Obama 49, McCain 44

In 65+ age group: Obama 55, McCain 40

Under 50 age group: Obama 55, McCain 39

Making under $50,000/year: Obama 60, McCain 34

Making more than $50,000/year: Obama 52, McCain 43

Demographic Breakdowns: Iowa

Among men: Obama 48, McCain 46

Among women: Obama 61, McCain 35

Among whites: Obama 55, McCain 40

Among 65+ age group: Obama 54, McCain 43

Under 50 age group: Obama 57, McCain 38

Making under $50,000/year: Obama 64, McCain 31

Making over $50,000/year: Obama 49, McCain 47

Lots of goodness here. I’m liking the DOMINATION in Iowa. Plus 15 among white voters? Wow. Granted, Iowa is mostly white, but such huge margins should destroy narratives about “Can Obama win X voters.”

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September 3, 2008 - Posted by | Battleground States, Polling | , , ,

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