Strategy ’08

Obama vs. the other guy, 2008

I Guess We’re Not All Georgians Anymore

I heard Chuck Todd on MSNBC today saying that Obama will likely not campaign for Jim Martin in his Senate runoff campaign. I can understand that he’s focused on the transition right now, and also that Martin faces an uphill climb. Still, I think it’s a mistake. For one thing, with the Alaska race moving our way and Minnesota still a good possibility, Georgia could end up being the Dems’ shot at 60 seats. Now, given the fluidity of cloture votes, I don’t believe that 60 is the magic number some have made it out to be, but it does represent a psychological hurdle, and besides, a Sen. Martin is a heck of a lot less likely to join a filibuster than Sen. Chambliss.

I also don’t really see what Obama has to lose by getting involved. If Martin loses, that will be what was expected, so Obama will hardly be associated with that loss. On the other hand, if he helps Martin pull off the upset, it will have Republicans shaking in their boots and will serve to validate not only his coattails but also his 50-state strategy. Besides, it’s not like this race is in Mississippi; Obama came within a few points of McCain in Georgia. Nor is Martin running away from Obama; in fact, he seems eager to have him visit.

The Republicans are going all out to crank up their base. Obama is the one guy who can truly help the Democrats turn out theirs. He should go to Georgia.


November 13, 2008 - Posted by | Battleground States | , , , , ,


  1. Hmmm – you make good points.

    My guess is their concern is that it appears too partisan right at a time when he should be focused on “unity.”

    Not sure where it nets out, but this post is persuasive.

    Comment by dansac | November 13, 2008 | Reply

  2. I know how you feel, but what if this race is hopeless? That is, without Obama on the ballot, that hundreds of thousands of Georgia Dems will not turn out? I suspect their polling shows this, and that the passion is all on the other side in this case (it is Georgia after all). If it can’t be won, is it worth the fight/black-eye of defeat? I’m not entirely decided on this, but those would seem to be the considerations…

    Comment by JP in CA | November 13, 2008 | Reply

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